The COVID-19 Situation Report is a data intensive report that tries to portray an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic. If you would like to add additional metrics to this report, please send a mail to the author at .

Date of Report

Numbers as on EOD 

## [1] "2020-05-04"

COVID-19 Overall Stats (Worldwide)

Overall Confirmed Cases Count Worldwide 

## [1] "3583055 (up from 3506729 yesterday: 2.18 % increase)"

Overall Deaths Worldwide

Please note that the deaths is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] "251537 (up from 247470 yesterday: 1.64 % increase)"

Overall Fatality Rate Worldwide in %

Please note that the fatality rate is at the minimum an underestimate as there could be fatalities resulting from the current active cases.

## [1] 7.02



In- Depth Country Wise Stats (With Atleast 1000 COVID-19 Confirmations)

Overall Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Country Wise (With Fatality Rates)

Country_Region TotalConfirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease TotalDeaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
US 1180375 22335 1.93 68922 1240 1.83 5.84
Spain 218011 545 0.25 25428 164 0.65 11.66
Italy 211938 1221 0.58 29079 195 0.68 13.72
United Kingdom 191832 3990 2.12 28809 289 1.01 15.02
France 169583 658 0.39 25204 304 1.22 14.86
Germany 166152 488 0.29 6993 127 1.85 4.21
Russia 145268 10581 7.86 1356 76 5.94 0.93
Turkey 127659 1614 1.28 3461 64 1.88 2.71
Brazil 108620 6794 6.67 7367 316 4.48 6.78
Iran 98647 1223 1.26 6277 74 1.19 6.36
China 83966 2 0.00 4637 0 0.00 5.52
Canada 61957 1453 2.40 4003 208 5.48 6.46
Belgium 50267 361 0.72 7924 80 1.02 15.76
Peru 47372 1444 3.14 1344 58 4.51 2.84
India 46437 3932 9.25 1566 175 12.58 3.37
Netherlands 40968 199 0.49 5098 26 0.51 12.44
Ecuador 31881 2343 7.93 1569 5 0.32 4.92
Switzerland 29981 76 0.25 1784 22 1.25 5.95
Saudi Arabia 28656 1645 6.09 191 7 3.80 0.67
Portugal 25524 242 0.96 1063 20 1.92 4.16
Mexico 24905 1434 6.11 2271 117 5.43 9.12
Sweden 22721 404 1.81 2769 90 3.36 12.19
Ireland 21772 266 1.24 1319 16 1.23 6.06
Pakistan 20941 857 4.27 476 19 4.16 2.27
Chile 20643 980 4.98 270 10 3.85 1.31
Singapore 18778 573 3.15 18 0 0.00 0.10
Belarus 17489 784 4.69 103 4 4.04 0.59
Israel 16246 38 0.23 235 3 1.29 1.45
Qatar 16191 640 4.12 12 0 0.00 0.07
Austria 15621 24 0.15 600 2 0.33 3.84
Japan 15078 201 1.35 536 49 10.06 3.55
United Arab Emirates 14730 567 4.00 137 11 8.73 0.93
Poland 14006 313 2.29 698 20 2.95 4.98
Romania 13512 349 2.65 818 28 3.54 6.05
Ukraine 12331 418 3.51 303 15 5.21 2.46
Indonesia 11587 395 3.53 864 19 2.25 7.46
Korea, South 10804 3 0.03 254 2 0.79 2.35
Bangladesh 10143 688 7.28 182 5 2.82 1.79
Denmark 9868 147 1.51 493 9 1.86 5.00
Serbia 9557 93 0.98 197 4 2.07 2.06
Philippines 9485 262 2.84 623 16 2.64 6.57
Dominican Republic 8235 281 3.53 346 13 3.90 4.20
Colombia 7973 305 3.98 358 18 5.29 4.49
Norway 7904 57 0.73 214 3 1.42 2.71
Czechia 7819 38 0.49 252 4 1.61 3.22
South Africa 7220 437 6.44 138 7 5.34 1.91
Panama 7197 107 1.51 200 3 1.52 2.78
Australia 6847 25 0.37 96 1 1.05 1.40
Egypt 6813 348 5.38 436 7 1.63 6.40
Malaysia 6353 55 0.87 105 0 0.00 1.65
Finland 5327 73 1.39 240 10 4.35 4.51
Kuwait 5278 295 5.92 40 2 5.26 0.76
Morocco 5053 150 3.06 179 5 2.87 3.54
Argentina 4887 104 2.17 260 14 5.69 5.32
Algeria 4648 174 3.89 465 2 0.43 10.00
Moldova 4248 127 3.08 132 7 5.60 3.11
Kazakhstan 4049 129 3.29 29 2 7.41 0.72
Luxembourg 3828 4 0.10 96 0 0.00 2.51
Bahrain 3533 150 4.43 8 0 0.00 0.23
Hungary 3035 37 1.23 351 11 3.24 11.57
Thailand 2987 18 0.61 54 0 0.00 1.81
Afghanistan 2894 190 7.03 90 5 5.88 3.11
Nigeria 2802 244 9.54 93 6 6.90 3.32
Ghana 2719 550 25.36 18 0 0.00 0.66
Oman 2637 69 2.69 12 0 0.00 0.46
Greece 2632 6 0.23 146 2 1.39 5.55
Armenia 2507 121 5.07 39 4 11.43 1.56
Iraq 2346 50 2.18 98 1 1.03 4.18
Uzbekistan 2189 40 1.86 10 0 0.00 0.46
Cameroon 2104 27 1.30 64 0 0.00 3.04
Croatia 2101 5 0.24 80 1 1.27 3.81
Azerbaijan 1984 52 2.69 26 1 4.00 1.31
Bosnia and Herzegovina 1926 69 3.72 78 1 1.30 4.05
Iceland 1799 0 0.00 10 0 0.00 0.56
Guinea 1710 124 7.82 9 2 28.57 0.53
Estonia 1703 3 0.18 55 0 0.00 3.23
Bolivia 1681 87 5.46 82 6 7.89 4.88
Cuba 1668 19 1.15 69 2 2.99 4.14
Bulgaria 1652 34 2.10 78 5 6.85 4.72
North Macedonia 1518 7 0.46 85 1 1.19 5.60
New Zealand 1486 -1 -0.07 20 0 0.00 1.35
Slovenia 1439 0 0.00 97 1 1.04 6.74
Cote d’Ivoire 1432 34 2.43 17 0 0.00 1.19
Lithuania 1419 9 0.64 46 0 0.00 3.24
Slovakia 1413 5 0.36 25 1 4.17 1.77
Senegal 1271 89 7.53 10 1 11.11 0.79
Honduras 1178 123 11.66 83 1 1.22 7.05
Djibouti 1116 4 0.36 2 0 0.00 0.18
Tunisia 1018 5 0.49 43 1 2.38 4.22

In Depth USA Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- States of USA (With Fatality Rates)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
New York 318953 2538 0.80 24999 291 1.18 7.84 16395.61 1285.06 1 in 61
New Jersey 128269 1525 1.20 7910 39 0.50 6.17 14441.15 890.55 1 in 69
Massachusetts 69087 1000 1.47 4090 86 2.15 5.92 9941.29 588.53 1 in 101
Illinois 63777 2278 3.70 2659 41 1.57 4.17 5032.98 209.84 1 in 199
California 55884 981 1.79 2278 62 2.80 4.08 1414.35 57.65 1 in 707
Pennsylvania 52816 1591 3.11 2838 118 4.34 5.37 4125.61 221.68 1 in 242
Michigan 43990 189 0.43 4139 86 2.12 9.41 4404.79 414.44 1 in 227
Florida 36897 819 2.27 1399 20 1.45 3.79 1717.92 65.14 1 in 582
Texas 32783 785 2.45 901 23 2.62 2.75 1130.61 31.07 1 in 884
Connecticut 29973 686 2.34 2556 120 4.93 8.53 8406.90 716.91 1 in 119
Louisiana 29673 333 1.13 2064 52 2.58 6.96 6382.95 443.99 1 in 157
Georgia 29451 786 2.74 1246 62 5.24 4.23 2773.84 117.35 1 in 361
Maryland 26408 946 3.72 1317 36 2.81 4.99 4368.08 217.84 1 in 229
Indiana 20507 574 2.88 1151 19 1.68 5.61 3046.10 170.97 1 in 328
Ohio 20474 560 2.81 1057 18 1.73 5.16 1751.55 90.43 1 in 571
Virginia 19493 821 4.40 684 24 3.64 3.51 2283.75 80.14 1 in 438
Colorado 16918 283 1.70 851 9 1.07 5.03 2937.80 147.78 1 in 340
Washington 15462 277 1.82 841 7 0.84 5.44 2030.49 110.44 1 in 492
Tennessee 13571 394 2.99 219 9 4.29 1.61 1986.05 32.05 1 in 504
North Carolina 11971 201 1.71 442 8 1.84 3.69 1141.39 42.14 1 in 876
Iowa 9703 528 5.75 188 4 2.17 1.94 3075.37 59.59 1 in 325
Rhode Island 9652 175 1.85 341 21 6.56 3.53 9111.15 321.89 1 in 110
Missouri 8946 328 3.81 386 5 1.31 4.31 1457.61 62.89 1 in 686
Arizona 8924 284 3.29 362 0 0.00 4.06 1171.91 47.54 1 in 853
Wisconsin 8236 272 3.42 340 1 0.29 4.13 1414.53 58.39 1 in 707
Alabama 8112 224 2.84 298 8 2.76 3.67 1654.43 60.78 1 in 604
Mississippi 7877 327 4.33 310 7 2.31 3.94 2646.71 104.16 1 in 378
Minnesota 7234 571 8.57 427 9 2.15 5.90 1282.71 75.71 1 in 780
South Carolina 6757 131 1.98 283 8 2.91 4.19 1312.37 54.97 1 in 762
Nebraska 6037 376 6.64 78 0 0.00 1.29 3120.85 40.32 1 in 320
Nevada 5630 158 2.89 265 7 2.71 4.71 1827.83 86.03 1 in 547
Kansas 5383 227 4.40 156 12 8.33 2.90 1847.72 53.55 1 in 541
Utah 5317 142 2.74 50 0 0.00 0.94 1658.47 15.60 1 in 603
Delaware 5288 80 1.54 182 5 2.82 3.44 5430.47 186.90 1 in 184
Kentucky 5245 115 2.24 261 8 3.16 4.98 1173.99 58.42 1 in 852
District of Columbia 5170 154 3.07 258 7 2.79 4.99 7325.55 365.57 1 in 137
Oklahoma 4044 72 1.81 238 0 0.00 5.89 1021.99 60.15 1 in 978
New Mexico 4031 181 4.70 156 5 3.31 3.87 1922.43 74.40 1 in 520
Arkansas 3491 54 1.57 80 4 5.26 2.29 1156.79 26.51 1 in 864
Oregon 2759 79 2.95 109 0 0.00 3.95 654.14 25.84 1 in 1529
South Dakota 2668 37 1.41 21 0 0.00 0.79 3015.85 23.74 1 in 332
New Hampshire 2588 70 2.78 86 0 0.00 3.32 1903.35 63.25 1 in 525
Idaho 2106 45 2.18 64 0 0.00 3.04 1175.18 35.71 1 in 851
Puerto Rico 1843 35 1.94 97 0 0.00 5.26 577.07 30.37 1 in 1733
North Dakota 1225 34 2.85 25 0 0.00 2.04 1607.48 32.81 1 in 622
West Virginia 1224 29 2.43 48 0 0.00 3.92 684.89 26.86 1 in 1460
Maine 1205 20 1.69 57 0 0.00 4.73 896.44 42.40 1 in 1116
Vermont 902 5 0.56 52 -1 -1.89 5.76 1445.54 83.33 1 in 692
Hawaii 621 1 0.16 17 0 0.00 2.74 438.60 12.01 1 in 2280
Wyoming 596 10 1.71 7 0 0.00 1.17 1029.79 12.09 1 in 971
Montana 457 2 0.44 16 0 0.00 3.50 427.59 14.97 1 in 2339
Alaska 370 2 0.54 9 0 0.00 2.43 505.78 12.30 1 in 1977

US Tested- Confirmed Funnel (All States)

State Level Figures

State Tested Confirmed ConfirmationRate TestsPerMillPopl
New York 1007310 318953 31.66 51780.24
New Jersey 277220 128269 46.27 31210.77
Massachusetts 324268 69087 21.31 46660.60
Illinois 333147 63777 19.14 26290.38
California 747874 55884 7.47 18927.66
Pennsylvania 245590 52816 21.51 19183.74
Michigan 222193 43990 19.80 22248.54
Florida 444270 36897 8.31 20685.14
Texas 407398 32783 8.05 14050.20
Connecticut 102493 29973 29.24 28747.48
Louisiana 180931 29673 16.40 38919.99
Georgia 183325 29451 16.06 17266.43
Maryland 136995 26408 19.28 22659.98
Indiana 113297 20507 18.10 16829.07
Ohio 155155 20474 13.20 13273.48
Virginia 112293 19493 17.36 13155.97
Colorado 83090 16918 20.36 14428.51
Washington 212005 15462 7.29 27840.84
Tennessee 211443 13571 6.42 30943.60
North Carolina 146439 11971 8.17 13962.42
Iowa 57161 9703 16.97 18117.19
Rhode Island 74136 9652 13.02 69981.81
Missouri 91451 8946 9.78 14900.54
Arizona 85253 8924 10.47 11195.56
Wisconsin 88703 8236 9.28 15234.69
Alabama 103117 8112 7.87 21030.62
Mississippi 79677 7877 9.89 26771.85
Minnesota 85941 7234 8.42 15238.76
South Carolina 64188 6757 10.53 12466.80
Nebraska 33754 6037 17.89 17449.27
Nevada 46166 5630 12.20 14988.20
Kansas 38603 5383 13.94 13250.55
Utah 124661 5317 4.27 38884.17
Delaware 24110 5288 21.93 24759.59
Kentucky 58409 5245 8.98 13073.70
District of Columbia 23795 5170 21.73 33715.95
Oklahoma 63848 4044 6.33 16135.57
New Mexico 77977 4031 5.17 37188.06
Arkansas 54442 3491 6.41 18040.14
Oregon 63457 2759 4.35 15045.27
South Dakota 18713 2668 14.26 21152.78
New Hampshire 26870 2588 9.63 19761.55
Idaho 29807 2106 7.07 16632.77
Puerto Rico 11156 1843 16.52 3493.13
North Dakota 34754 1225 3.52 45605.21
West Virginia 53239 1224 2.30 29789.94
Maine 20751 1205 5.81 15437.30
Vermont 17332 902 5.20 27776.13
Hawaii 33866 621 1.83 23918.83
Wyoming 10454 596 5.70 18062.79
Montana 15088 457 3.03 14117.06
Alaska 21723 370 1.70 29694.69

In Depth India Stats (State Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths (States of India)

State Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Recovered RecoveryRate Active Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate
Maharashtra 14541 1567 12.08 2465 16.95 11493 583 35 6.39 4.01
Gujarat 5804 376 6.93 1195 20.59 4290 319 29 10.00 5.50
Delhi 4898 349 7.67 1431 29.22 3403 64 0 0.00 1.31
Tamil Nadu 3550 527 17.43 1409 39.69 2110 31 1 3.33 0.87
Rajasthan 3061 175 6.06 1438 46.98 1546 77 6 8.45 2.52
Madhya Pradesh 2942 105 3.70 856 29.10 1921 165 9 5.77 5.61
Uttar Pradesh 2766 121 4.57 802 28.99 1914 50 7 16.28 1.81
Andhra Pradesh 1650 67 4.23 524 31.76 1093 33 0 0.00 2.00
West Bengal 1259 296 30.74 218 17.32 908 133 83 166.00 10.56
Punjab 1232 130 11.80 128 10.39 1081 23 2 9.52 1.87
Telangana 1085 3 0.28 585 53.92 471 29 0 0.00 2.67
Jammu and Kashmir 726 25 3.57 303 41.74 415 8 0 0.00 1.10
Karnataka 651 37 6.03 321 49.31 302 27 2 8.00 4.15
Bihar 528 11 2.13 129 24.43 395 4 0 0.00 0.76
Haryana 517 75 16.97 254 49.13 257 6 1 20.00 1.16
Kerala 500 0 0.00 462 92.40 34 4 0 0.00 0.80
Odisha 169 7 4.32 60 35.50 108 1 0 0.00 0.59
Jharkhand 115 0 0.00 27 23.48 85 3 0 0.00 2.61
Chandigarh 102 5 5.15 21 20.59 80 1 0 0.00 0.98
Uttarakhand 60 0 0.00 39 65.00 20 1 0 0.00 1.67
Chhattisgarh 58 1 1.75 36 62.07 22 0 0 NaN 0.00
Assam 43 0 0.00 33 76.74 9 1 0 0.00 2.33
Ladakh 42 0 0.00 17 40.48 25 0 0 NaN 0.00
Himachal Pradesh 41 1 2.50 34 82.93 2 2 0 0.00 4.88
Andaman and Nicobar Islands 33 0 0.00 32 96.97 1 0 0 NaN 0.00
Tripura 29 13 81.25 2 6.90 27 0 0 NaN 0.00
Meghalaya 12 0 0.00 10 83.33 1 1 0 0.00 8.33
Puducherry 12 0 0.00 6 50.00 6 0 0 NaN 0.00
Goa 7 0 0.00 7 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Manipur 2 0 0.00 2 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Arunachal Pradesh 1 0 0.00 1 100.00 0 0 0 NaN 0.00
Mizoram 1 0 0.00 0 0.00 1 0 0 NaN 0.00
Dadra and Nagar Haveli 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Daman and Diu 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Lakshadweep 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Nagaland 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN
Sikkim 0 0 NaN 0 NaN 0 0 0 NaN NaN

In Depth Italy Stats (Region Wise Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Regions of Italy (With Fatality and Confirmation Rates)

Region Swabs Confirmations NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease ConfirmationRate HospitalizedWithSymptoms IntensiveCare ActiveCases Deceased FatalityRate
Lombardia 418835 78105 577 0.74 18.65 6414 532 37307 14294 18.30
Piemonte 176078 27622 192 0.70 15.69 2391 161 15562 3186 11.53
Emilia-Romagna 200427 26175 159 0.61 13.06 1968 199 8984 3666 14.01
Veneto 383660 18373 55 0.30 4.79 955 101 7234 1528 8.32
Toscana 152447 9601 38 0.40 6.30 512 107 5279 881 9.18
Liguria 56092 8412 53 0.63 15.00 606 72 3508 1221 14.51
Lazio 153293 6847 38 0.56 4.47 1335 95 4385 524 7.65
Marche 65398 6363 44 0.70 9.73 389 44 3206 932 14.65
Campania 90543 4498 14 0.31 4.97 438 24 2711 366 8.14
P.A. Trento 42061 4258 11 0.26 10.12 135 17 1165 430 10.10
Puglia 67167 4153 9 0.22 6.18 397 39 2945 429 10.33
Sicilia 87166 3255 15 0.46 3.73 376 27 2202 244 7.50
Friuli Venezia Giulia 75421 3076 4 0.13 4.08 130 4 1050 299 9.72
Abruzzo 41108 3000 4 0.13 7.30 301 15 1837 332 11.07
P.A. Bolzano 44673 2541 5 0.20 5.69 103 10 636 284 11.18
Umbria 39044 1394 0 0.00 3.57 56 13 181 70 5.02
Sardegna 28052 1317 -2 -0.15 4.69 91 9 653 119 9.04
Valle d’Aosta 8271 1143 1 0.09 13.82 74 2 110 139 12.16
Calabria 39438 1118 4 0.36 2.83 93 4 674 88 7.87
Basilicata 14901 386 0 0.00 2.59 50 3 173 25 6.48
Molise 7328 301 0 0.00 4.11 9 1 178 22 7.31

In Depth Canada Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of Canada (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed NewConfirmations CasesPercentIncrease Deaths NewDeaths DeathsPercentIncrease FatalityRate ConfirmedCasesPerMillPopl DeathsPerMillPopl InfectionOdds
Quebec 32631 758 2.38 2281 75 3.40 6.99 3822.00 267.17 1 in 262
Ontario 19097 523 2.82 1446 120 9.05 7.57 1298.07 98.29 1 in 770
Alberta 5836 70 1.21 104 9 9.47 1.78 1322.41 23.57 1 in 756
British Columbia 2224 53 2.44 117 3 2.63 5.26 435.15 22.89 1 in 2298
Nova Scotia 985 14 1.44 38 1 2.70 3.86 1007.72 38.88 1 in 992
Saskatchewan 467 34 7.85 7 0 0.00 1.50 395.20 5.92 1 in 2530
Manitoba 283 1 0.35 6 0 0.00 2.12 205.44 4.36 1 in 4868
Newfoundland and Labrador 259 0 0.00 3 0 0.00 1.16 496.77 5.75 1 in 2013
New Brunswick 118 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 151.28 0.00 1 in 6610
Prince Edward Island 27 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 170.72 0.00 1 in 5858
Yukon 11 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 267.78 0.00 1 in 3734
Northwest Territories 5 0 0.00 0 0 NaN 0.00 111.35 0.00 1 in 8981

In Depth China Stats (With Province Level Figures)

Confirmed Cases and Deaths- Provinces of China (With Fatality Rates)

Province Confirmed Deaths FatalityRate
Hubei 68128 4512 6.62
Guangdong 1588 8 0.50
Henan 1276 22 1.72
Zhejiang 1268 1 0.08
Hong Kong 1040 4 0.38
Hunan 1019 4 0.39
Anhui 991 6 0.61
Heilongjiang 944 13 1.38
Jiangxi 937 1 0.11
Shandong 788 7 0.89
Shanghai 656 7 1.07
Jiangsu 653 0 0.00
Beijing 593 9 1.52
Chongqing 579 6 1.04
Sichuan 561 3 0.53
Fujian 356 1 0.28
Hebei 328 6 1.83
Shaanxi 306 3 0.98
Guangxi 254 2 0.79
Inner Mongolia 201 1 0.50
Shanxi 198 0 0.00
Tianjin 190 3 1.58
Yunnan 185 2 1.08
Hainan 168 6 3.57
Guizhou 147 2 1.36
Liaoning 146 2 1.37
Gansu 139 2 1.44
Jilin 112 1 0.89
Xinjiang 76 3 3.95
Ningxia 75 0 0.00
Macau 45 0 0.00
Qinghai 18 0 0.00
Tibet 1 0 0.00

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most confirmed COVID-19 cases as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Confirmed Cases Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Confirmed Cases Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Time Series Curves (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The time series curves (both linear and logarithmic) are printed for the top 20 countries with the most COVID-19 deaths as of today in decreasing order of confirmations.

Death Count (Linear)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Death Count (Logarithmic)

Country Wise Time Series Curve

Epidemic Curve: Delta in the past 24 hrs (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various countries. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 countries in the world as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Delta in Confirmed Cases

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Delta in Deaths

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Measuring Outbreak Velocity: 5 Day Lagging Average Doubling Time (Top 20 Countries with the Highest Cases)

The velocity of an outbreak is determined by a construct known as doubling time. This value describes the number of days, on average, required for the number of cases to double in a given area. For our analysis we use average doubling time, which can be defined as the number of days, on average, required for the average number of COVID-19 cases to double in a given area.

This measure can describe COVID-19 behavior worldwide, in a country, or even in a smaller region such as a state. For our analysis, we will discuss average doubling time at a national level for the top 20 most affected countries.

Below, we have calculated average doubling time for several nations, on a trailing, rolling 5-day basisbased on today’s case values. A decline in average doubling time indicates that the COVID-19 outbreak (confirmation rate) is accelerating (average cases double in fewer days), while an increase of average doubling time indicates that the outbreak is slowing.

Ideally, when social distancing and lockdowns are implemented aggressively in a country and after some period of delay, doubling times should begin to increase in a matter of days, weeks, or months, depending upon the severity of the epidemic and the degree of social distancing achievable.

Given the fact that many countries across the world have already enacted or implemented social distancing measures, this is why one should be cautious not to extrapolate COVID-19 growth rates from trailing statistics.

5 Day Lagging Avg Doubling Time of Confirmations

Confirmed Cases and Deaths Per Million Population and Infection Odds

This metric confirmed cases per million population and deaths per million population shows the extent to which the disease has spread with respect to the population of the country. The metric Infection Odds shows 1 in how many people are infected with COVID-19 in the corresponding country.

For the top 20 countries with most confirmed cases excluding cruise ships

Country_Region ConfirmedCasesPerMillionPopl DeathsPerMillionPopl InfectionOdds
US 3607.50 210.64 1 in 277
Spain 4672.33 544.96 1 in 214
Italy 3504.27 480.80 1 in 285
United Kingdom 2887.30 433.61 1 in 346
France 2531.47 376.24 1 in 395
Germany 2006.91 84.47 1 in 498
Russia 1005.31 9.38 1 in 995
Turkey 1579.74 42.83 1 in 633
Brazil 518.97 35.20 1 in 1927
Iran 1215.46 77.34 1 in 823
China 60.58 3.35 1 in 16507
Canada 1648.23 106.49 1 in 607
Belgium 4409.39 695.09 1 in 227
Peru 1472.55 41.78 1 in 679
India 34.68 1.17 1 in 28835
Netherlands 2384.63 296.74 1 in 419
Ecuador 1918.23 94.40 1 in 521
Switzerland 3498.37 208.17 1 in 286
Saudi Arabia 869.95 5.80 1 in 1149
Portugal 2480.47 103.30 1 in 403

US Detailed State and County Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the state/ county level in USA.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in US States

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in various US states. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The below charts show if this has happened for the worst affected 20 states in USA as of today. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in US States

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Top 50 US Counties with the Highest Cases and Deaths

All NYC boroughs are mentioned together as New York County

County State Confirmations Deaths FatalityRate
New York New York 175651 19057 10.85
Cook Illinois 43715 1802 4.12
Nassau New York 36965 1792 4.85
Suffolk New York 35077 1273 3.63
Westchester New York 30097 1101 3.66
Los Angeles California 26225 1257 4.79
Wayne Michigan 17314 1924 11.11
Bergen New Jersey 16282 1215 7.46
Philadelphia Pennsylvania 16040 726 4.53
Hudson New Jersey 15881 845 5.32
Middlesex Massachusetts 15757 997 6.33
Essex New Jersey 14621 1292 8.84
Suffolk Massachusetts 13941 596 4.28
Passaic New Jersey 13496 633 4.69
Union New Jersey 13357 737 5.52
Miami-Dade Florida 13092 378 2.89
Middlesex New Jersey 12768 642 5.03
Fairfield Connecticut 12245 910 7.43
Rockland New York 12095 536 4.43
Essex Massachusetts 9773 512 5.24
Orange New York 9015 343 3.80
New Haven Connecticut 8110 595 7.34
Prince George’s Maryland 7598 284 3.74
Oakland Michigan 7499 762 10.16
Providence Rhode Island 7138 0 0.00
Ocean New Jersey 6974 447 6.41
Harris Texas 6967 140 2.01
Orleans Louisiana 6557 447 6.82
King Washington 6545 463 7.07
Worcester Massachusetts 6471 320 4.95
Jefferson Louisiana 6426 377 5.87
Norfolk Massachusetts 6382 555 8.70
Monmouth New Jersey 6378 385 6.04
Marion Indiana 6327 363 5.74
Hartford Connecticut 6173 773 12.52
Macomb Michigan 5736 643 11.21
Plymouth Massachusetts 5602 333 5.94
Morris New Jersey 5549 449 8.09
Montgomery Maryland 5384 301 5.59
Broward Florida 5383 208 3.86
District of Columbia District of Columbia 5170 258 4.99
Maricopa Arizona 4751 147 3.09
Montgomery Pennsylvania 4645 382 8.22
Fairfax Virginia 4615 198 4.29
Mercer New Jersey 4594 256 5.57
Clark Nevada 4411 223 5.06
Dallas Texas 4370 114 2.61
Riverside California 4354 181 4.16
Lake Illinois 4252 151 3.55
Delaware Pennsylvania 4198 258 6.15

Overall US Choropleth Map

Choropleths are an ideal way to visualize the past/ current COVID-19 hotspots within a country. The below are the hotspots in the US.

County level COVID-19 Confirmations Map

Canada Detailed Province Level Curves

This section of the report might be of interest to people who want an an accurate data oriented picture of the 2019- 2020 COVID-19 pandemic at the province level in Canada.

The COVID-19 epidemic curve, also known as an COVID-19 epi curve or COVID-19 epidemiological curve, is a statistical chart to visualise the onset and progression of the COVID-19 outbreak in the most affected Canadian provinces- Quebec, Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia. The term flattening of the epidermic curve is referred to as the drastic reduction of new cases which can be seen in the dip in the number of new cases in the past 24 hrs. The fitted line in the below bars show the last 7 day average of new cases/ new deaths.

Epidemic Curve: Delta in Confirmed Cases in Canadian Provinces

Number of New Cases in the past 24 hrs

Epidermic Curve: Delta in Deaths in Canadian Provinces

Number of Deaths in the past 24 hrs

Data Sources

CSSEGISandData, The NY Times, amodm/api-covid19-in and pcm-dpc